ATP Miami Preview: Reilly Opelka vs. Tomas Machac

Reilly Opelka

• Background: Opelka stunned Holger Rune to reach the third round in Miami, notching his second top-20 win this season after defeating Novak Djokovic in Brisbane.
• Recent Form: Currently ranked No. 103 in the live ATP rankings, a win here would mark his return to the top 100 for the first time since 2022—a major achievement considering he was outside the top 1000 following his injury layoff last year.
• Strengths and Concerns: Despite his powerful serve, Opelka has never progressed past the third round in five Miami Masters attempts. His fluctuating fitness levels remain a concern, especially in longer matches.

Tomas Machac

• Background: Machac battled past Matteo Arnaldi in a three-set contest (6-2, 1-6, 6-3) to keep his Miami campaign alive. He’s defending quarterfinal points from last year.
• Recent Form: After his breakthrough title in Acapulco earlier this month, Machac’s momentum took a hit with a retirement in his Indian Wells opener. The Miami Masters offers a chance to bounce back.
• Strengths and Concerns: Machac has proven to be a clutch performer in deciding sets, but his recent injury raises questions about consistency and endurance.

Head-to-Head: Tomas Machac leads 1-0, having won a five-set battle against Opelka at the 2025 Australian Open.

Key Considerations

• Current Form: Machac is seeking redemption after Indian Wells, while Opelka is chasing a rankings milestone.
• Fitness: Opelka’s conditioning could be exposed in a drawn-out match.
• Previous Meeting: Machac’s prior win over Opelka shows he can handle the American’s firepower.

Prediction

Tomas Machac to win in three sets. While Opelka’s recent upset victory was impressive, Machac’s superior consistency and proven clutch play in deciding sets make him the favorite. Opelka’s fitness will be under the spotlight if this match extends.

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