ATP Barcelona: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey Rublev

ATP Barcelona: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey Rublev – Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Andrey Rublev
📉 Struggling for consistency in 2025, Rublev has endured a series of early exits and form dips.
🧠 Recently began working with Marat Safin as coach, but results remain mixed—Monte Carlo R16 loss to Fils being the latest.
💼 With his Madrid title defense coming soon, the pressure is mounting for a confidence-boosting run.
🇪🇸 Rublev has a poor Barcelona history, including a first-round loss last year.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
🔥 One of the most improved players on tour this year—already has 19 wins and two runner-up finishes in 2025.
🎾 Transitioned seamlessly to clay, crushing Wawrinka in R1 and carrying momentum from Monte Carlo.
🏡 Thrives on home soil—has made R3 or better in Barcelona twice before.
🧗 Playing with a rare blend of flair and stability this season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Rublev leads the H2H 5–0, but he’s far from his best right now. His baseline aggression is compromised by confidence issues, and his game lacks plan B when he’s not striking cleanly.

Davidovich Fokina, on the other hand, is in his element—both surface and form-wise. If he keeps the error count low and forces Rublev into extended rallies, he could finally break through in this matchup. The Spaniard’s improved mental game and sharper point construction could be decisive.

🔮 Prediction

The stage is set for a breakthrough win. With Rublev still searching and ADF in rhythm on clay, this feels like the perfect storm for an upset. Davidovich Fokina in three sets.