🎾 ATP Barcelona: Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson

🎾 ATP Barcelona: Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇪🇸 Roberto Carballes Baena

• 🧱 Clay-court specialist: 395–209 career record on clay; thrives in long rallies and high bounce.
• 📍 Barcelona history: 10th appearance; QF in 2019, R16 last year—comfortable and consistent here.
• 🔥 Recent form: SF in Marrakech with solid wins over Borges and Darderi.
• 📉 Upside limitations: Relies on consistency rather than power—struggles when rushed.
• 🧮 2025 Record: 9–10 overall (3–3 clay, 5–6 hard).

🇦🇺 Jordan Thompson

• 🔥 On a good run: Has notched big 2025 wins over Zverev, Tsitsipas, and Dimitrov.
• 🌍 Clay improvement: Pushed Tsitsipas to 3 sets in Monte Carlo, R16 here in 2023.
• 📈 Strong serve: Especially effective on quicker courts, but he’s adding variety for clay.
• 🧮 2025 Record: 16–10 overall (1–2 clay, 5–4 hard).

🔍 Match Breakdown

This match pits a natural clay-court grinder against a rising all-surface contender. Carballes Baena is more at home on this surface, backed by local support and rhythm-based play. He’ll aim to extend rallies and pull Thompson into long, physical battles.

Thompson, however, is playing with more confidence and has shown adaptability on clay. If he can maintain a high first-serve percentage and keep rallies short, he can take the upper hand in tempo and wear the Spaniard down.

Carballes Baena will need to serve well and use the slow surface to his advantage—because Thompson will be the aggressor in most exchanges.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Jordan Thompson in 3 sets

Thompson’s better 2025 form and improved clay play could carry him over the line, but expect Carballes Baena to push hard on home soil. A grind-fest likely awaits.