Wednesday, April 2, 2025

🎾 ATP Houston: Tabilo vs Brooksby

🎾 ATP Houston: Tabilo vs Brooksby – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🟥 Alejandro Tabilo

  • 📉 Rough start to 2025: Just 2–8 this season, including 0–3 on clay courts.
  • 💥 Dangerous upside: When dialed in, his lefty forehand and aggressive baseline game can trouble anyone.
  • Confidence lacking: Lost 6 of his last 7 matches, including close contests against Tseng and Ruud.
  • 🇨🇱 Houston woes: Yet to win a main-draw match here—fell in 2023 qualifying.

🟩 Jenson Brooksby

  • 🔥 Undefeated comeback: 6–0 in 2025 so far—hasn’t dropped a set this week in Houston.
  • 🧱 Baseline resilience: Known for his grinding style, patience, and elite rally tolerance.
  • 🇺🇸 Home soil success: Defeated Daniel, Maloney, and Gomez to reach this stage—comfortable in Houston conditions.
  • 🧠 Mentally steady: Calm and composed in key moments—returning strong after long injury layoff.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup pits volatility against stability. Tabilo’s aggressive style and flair can take matches out of his opponent’s hands—if he’s hitting cleanly. But his current form suggests otherwise. Brooksby, in contrast, thrives by forcing opponents into mistakes, dragging rallies out, and applying consistent pressure from the baseline.

On clay, where movement and patience are even more important, Brooksby’s style is an excellent counter to Tabilo’s offense-first game. Unless the Chilean finds a groove early and keeps his errors low, Brooksby is likely to take control by playing longer points and wearing him down mentally and physically.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Brooksby in 2 sets

Tabilo may have the flashier game, but Brooksby’s momentum, match sharpness, and relentless consistency make him the logical pick—especially on clay, where Tabilo’s confidence is at its lowest.

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