🎾 ATP Madrid: Alexander Zverev vs Roberto Bautista Agut

🎾 ATP Madrid: Alexander Zverev vs Roberto Bautista Agut

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Zverev
🇩🇪 Back on track: Zverev snapped a mid-season slump with a resurgent title run in Munich, reclaiming the World No. 2 ranking. The confidence boost comes just in time for a Madrid tournament where he has thrived—champion in 2018 and 2021, and consistently strong in altitude conditions that amplify his serve and forehand. With Carlos Alcaraz briefly overtaking him in the rankings, the pressure is now slightly off, giving him mental breathing room heading into the clay swing.

Roberto Bautista Agut
🇪🇸 Resurgence signs: After beginning 2025 with a 1–7 record, the veteran Spaniard has started to stabilize on clay, winning 3 of his last 6. Still, at 36 years old and now ranked outside the Top 100, he’s fighting an uphill battle. Madrid’s fast, bouncy conditions don’t particularly suit his flat counterpunching style, but local crowd support could keep him competitive for stretches.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a classic clash of styles: Zverev’s altitude-enhanced firepower vs Bautista Agut’s court craft and consistency. On slow, gritty clay, RBA might stand a better chance of extending points and pulling Zverev into long rallies. But in Madrid, where the ball flies and short points are rewarded, Zverev’s serve and backhand are likely to dictate play.

RBA will look to absorb and redirect pace, while Zverev will aim to strike early in rallies and dominate service games. The German is also coming off a confidence-boosting title, while RBA hasn’t beaten a top-5 player since 2023—underscoring the gap in current level.

• Altitude effect: Zverev thrives here. RBA, less so.
• Mental state: Zverev is finally relaxed and playing freely again.
• RBA’s path: Needs Zverev to implode with errors—an unlikely scenario in current form.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Zverev in 2 sets
The crowd may energize RBA, and he’ll compete with trademark grit—but Zverev’s power, altitude-proven serve, and recent form edge should be enough to push him through comfortably.