🎾 ATP Madrid: Benjamin Bonzi vs Hubert Hurkacz

🎾 ATP Madrid: Benjamin Bonzi vs Hubert Hurkacz

🧠 Form & Context

Hubert Hurkacz
🇵🇱 The Polish No. 1 has been on a comeback path in 2025 after surgery sidelined him late last season. He began the year strongly with a semifinal in Rotterdam, but a physical dip in March—highlighted by a bagel set loss to Alex de Minaur in Indian Wells—led to a short break. Still, Hurkacz has proven he can handle clay: he went 14–4 on the surface in 2024, and Madrid’s fast conditions suit his serve-and-volley tendencies and compact footwork. He’s reached at least the third round in three of his five visits here, including a quarterfinal run in 2022.

Benjamin Bonzi
🇫🇷 Bonzi comes into this match with some relief—his first-round win over Marin Čilić snapped a four-match losing streak and marked his first main-draw ATP win since January. Once a Top 50 player, Bonzi is trying to climb back up the ranks after a string of inconsistent results. While Madrid marks his main-draw debut at this Masters 1000, he’s no stranger to clay success, having previously reached quarterfinals in Marrakech and Gstaad.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Hurkacz brings the bigger serve, better altitude game, and a solid clay resume—especially at altitude. Even when not at his physical peak, he remains one of the hardest players to break on tour, and his slice and ability to attack the net give him natural advantages on faster clay courts like Madrid’s.

Bonzi was steady in his opener but didn’t face much resistance from a rusty Čilić. Against Hurkacz, he’ll have to return exceptionally well and be aggressive on second serves—no easy task against the Pole’s imposing first-strike game. The head-to-head sits 2–0 for Hurkacz, and Bonzi has yet to win a set in their previous encounters. Unless Hurkacz’s serve goes completely off, Bonzi will find few openings to apply scoreboard pressure.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Hurkacz in straight sets
Hurkacz’s game is tailor-made for Madrid’s conditions. Bonzi may hang in early, but the serve-and-volley rhythm and first-strike efficiency should see the Pole through comfortably.