Tuesday, April 29, 2025

🎾 ATP Madrid: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima

🎾 ATP Madrid: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇷🇺 Daniil Medvedev

  • Crisis Control: Despite a turbulent 2025 season full of losses and emotional flare-ups, Madrid has been unexpectedly calm—walkover from Djere, followed by a clinical win over J.M. Cerundolo.
  • Clay Redemption: Formerly allergic to the surface, Medvedev has quietly built a decent clay record since 2023, including his Rome Masters title.
  • Top-10 Scramble: Slipped out of the top 10 after failing to defend points early in the season, but clawed back thanks to others’ missteps—he now needs wins to stay there.
  • Madrid Track Record: 4th straight R16 here; reached the QF last year but had to retire, so a full run would be welcome validation.

🇺🇸 Brandon Nakashima

  • Turning the Tide: Snapped a three-match losing streak and won his first-ever Madrid main-draw match—now into his first R16 here without dropping a set.
  • Low-Profile Progress: Known more for his hard-court game, Nakashima is quietly showing clay adaptability, but still chasing his first-ever Masters QF.
  • Challenging Draw History: Lost all 4 of his previous Masters R16s, all against top-20 players—including Shelton and Dimitrov this year.
  • Underdog Aura: Has nothing to lose, and Madrid’s faster clay is more favorable to his flatter game compared to traditional red clay venues.

🔗 Full analysis & market strategy for this match is available on Patreon


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