🎾 ATP Madrid: Nuno Borges vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

🎾 ATP Madrid: Nuno Borges vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇪🇸 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• Spain’s Flagbearer: With Alcaraz sidelined, ADF steps into the spotlight as Madrid’s hometown hero.
• 2025 Surge: Sporting a 20–10 record this season with three semifinal appearances—including Monte Carlo.
• Madrid History: Has won a match in every Madrid appearance since 2020.
• Mental Watch: Brilliant at his best, but prone to unraveling under pressure—especially when expectations mount.

🇵🇹 Nuno Borges

• Milestone Win: Defeated Carreño Busta for his first-ever main draw victory in Madrid.
• Masters Maturity: A 3–3 record in Masters R2 matches, with a recent clay win over Pedro Martinez in Monte Carlo.
• Steady Progress: A disciplined baseliner who's growing more comfortable on clay.
• Surface Shift: Though not a natural clay-courter, he's adjusting well with each event.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Davidovich Fokina is playing the best, most consistent tennis of his career—but mental fragility remains a lingering concern. As Spain’s top dog in Madrid this year, the emotional weight could cause some turbulence.

Borges will look to test that, deploying calm baseline patterns and refusing to give away cheap points. If the Portuguese player keeps his first serve clicking and holds firm on the backhand side, he’ll create uncomfortable scenarios for ADF—who tends to overhit when squeezed.

Their only head-to-head went Borges’ way on hard court last year in Phoenix. But since then, Fokina’s level and clay-court IQ have grown significantly—though so has the pressure of delivering at home.

🔮 Prediction

✔️ Prediction: Davidovich Fokina in 3 sets

Borges is well-positioned to make this competitive, particularly if ADF’s nerves flare up early. Still, with the altitude amplifying his weapons and the crowd on his side (for better or worse), Fokina should find a path through—even if it’s not a smooth one.

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