🎾 ATP Madrid R1: Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci

🎾 ATP Madrid R1: Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci – Momentum vs Flash

🧠 Form & Context

Damir Dzumhur

• 🇧🇦 Resurgent veteran: The Bosnian has clawed his way back into ATP main draws with a stellar 2025 season so far (21 wins), including a semifinal in Bucharest and quarterfinal in Santiago.
• 📈 Trending up: Once ranked No. 23, Dzumhur is playing with renewed belief and rhythm, using his consistency and quickness to frustrate opponents.
• 🎾 Madrid comeback: This marks his first appearance in the Madrid main draw since 2018, where he pushed Del Potro in R2.

Mattia Bellucci

• 🇮🇹 High ceiling, low floor: Burst onto the radar by upsetting Tsitsipas and Medvedev during a sensational run to the Rotterdam semifinals earlier this year.
• 📉 Form concerns: Outside that run, he’s struggled with consistency—unable to string together wins on other surfaces.
• 🏟️ Madrid debut: This is only his third career Masters main-draw appearance—still adapting to the intensity and pressure of this level.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup hinges on consistency vs explosiveness.

Dzumhur is a classic grinder—quick feet, early ball striking, excellent movement—traits that play well at altitude, especially on clay. He builds pressure through depth and angles, forcing opponents to take risks.

Bellucci, meanwhile, is a shotmaker who lives and dies by his aggressive baseline play. Madrid’s conditions favor his big lefty forehand and flat shots, but they also punish players lacking patience or timing on clay.

With Dzumhur in rhythm and Bellucci's form wavering, the Bosnian is well positioned to absorb pressure and turn defense into attack. If the Italian doesn’t find his range early, frustration could creep in.

🔮 Prediction

✅ Winner: Damir Dzumhur in 3 sets

Bellucci might come out swinging, but Dzumhur’s steady form, clay comfort, and fitness advantage should help him edge through—especially in the longer rallies.