🎾 ATP Madrid R1: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Hamad Medjedovic

🎾 ATP Madrid R1: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Hamad Medjedovic

🧠 Form & Context

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

• 🇦🇷 Clay-court stalwart: Built his 2023 breakthrough on clay, including a Roland Garros quarterfinal run and a Top-30 debut.
• 📉 2025 regression: Just 9 wins from 22 matches this year. His recent clay form (1–3) has been uninspiring, with his lone win in Monte Carlo aided by Moutet’s injury.
• ⬇️ Pressure cooker: Slipping outside the Top 50 and needing points badly—especially after early Madrid exits in 2023 and 2024.

Hamad Medjedovic

• 🇷🇸 Fast-clay specialist: His serve-heavy, aggressive style thrives at elevation—perfect for Madrid’s altitude-enhanced conditions.
• 📈 Trending upward: Qualified in Barcelona and nearly beat Ruud in a high-quality R2 match. Looks sharp and confident heading into Madrid.
• 📍 Madrid familiarity: Reached R2 here last year as a qualifier—comfortable with the pace and surface bounce at the Caja Mágica.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Etcheverry’s game is built on physicality, depth, and topspin-heavy attrition—but recent matches show a lack of conviction. He's defending less territory and getting pushed behind the baseline far too often. On Madrid’s quicker clay, that spells trouble.

Medjedovic, meanwhile, brings firepower. His big serve and heavy forehand are tailor-made for altitude conditions, and his recent form suggests he’s found a groove. If he can keep first-serve percentage high and dominate with forehand +1s, Etcheverry will be forced to play defense from compromised positions.

Madrid’s speed rewards risk—and right now, Medjedovic has more momentum, more confidence, and a better fit for the conditions.

🔮 Prediction

✅ Winner: Hamad Medjedovic in 2 tight sets

Etcheverry is capable of turning things around long-term, but the moment favors Medjedovic’s power and Madrid savvy.