🎾 ATP Monte Carlo: Berrettini vs Musetti

🎾 ATP Monte Carlo: Berrettini vs Musetti – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🟨 Matteo Berrettini

• 🧱 Back in rhythm: Finally playing a consistent schedule with sustained fitness.
• 📈 Confidence boost: Beat world No.2 Zverev from a set down—his first-ever top-2 win.
• 🔥 Big-time scalps: Has top-20 wins over Djokovic, Zverev, and Etcheverry in 2025 alone.
• 🏁 Momentum building: Reached QF in Miami, now pushing for a first Monte Carlo QF.
• 📍 Monte Carlo past: Reached R16 in 2023 (withdrew vs Rune), now back stronger.

🟥 Lorenzo Musetti

• 🎯 Monte Carlo magnet: Into the R16 here for the fourth straight year.
• 🧠 Mental fortitude: Came from behind to beat both Yunchaokete and Lehecka this week.
• 📍 Clay connoisseur: Thrives on slow, high-bounce courts that reward variety and patience.
• ⚔️ Big-stage resilient: Past R16 losses here came to Djokovic and Schwartzman—both tough outs.
• 📊 Monte Carlo specialist: This event is his most consistent Masters stop by far.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Berrettini is striking the ball with authority again, and his ability to end points quickly makes him lethal on any surface—especially when he’s landing over 65% of first serves. His straight-sets win over Zverev showed poise under pressure and renewed physical belief.

Musetti, however, is the more natural clay-courter. His drop shots, angles, and one-handed backhand are built for Monte Carlo’s slow, grippy courts. He’ll need to use all of that to defuse Berrettini’s pace and drag the Italian slugger into rallies where his variety can shine.

The matchup is close, but conditions slightly favor Musetti—especially with the crowd’s support and his ability to grind in key moments.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Lorenzo Musetti in 3 sets

Berrettini is in great form, but Monte Carlo has consistently been Musetti’s magic zone. His touch and tactical clay game could tilt a high-quality all-Italian battle his way—especially if it gets physical.