ATP Monte Carlo Jordan Thompson vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

ATP Monte Carlo

Jordan Thompson vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

Jordan Thompson
🌪️ Preparation misfire: Skipped early travel to Europe, opting to play Houston after Miami—but was promptly upset by Ethan Quinn.
📉 2025 struggles: Retired in Brisbane’s quarterfinals and has since failed to regain form; rhythm and fitness both remain shaky.
🔥 Pressure phase: With a career-high season in 2024 behind him, Thompson is now defending a mountain of points. The clay swing represents his best shot to catch up, as he underperformed on this surface last year.
🧠 Mental crunch: The Australian needs wins badly to relieve pressure and boost morale—but with his game not suited to clay, especially slow European clay, this is a tough ask.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
🧱 Clay calling card: Breakout moment came last year when he won the Lyon title late in the clay swing, though prior to that he was a Challenger regular.
📉 Dip since Brisbane: Hasn’t built on his promising 2025 start and recently lost to an out-of-form Thompson in Miami.
📈 Monte Carlo debut: First-ever appearance at the prestigious event, but not ideal conditions for his booming serve and attacking instincts.
🌀 Masters learning curve: Still adjusting to the pace of top-tier events—he’s 2–5 in Masters main draw matches so far.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This match could be a grind—not because the quality is high, but because both players are short on confidence and lacking recent success. Thompson’s baseline consistency and mental edge (3–0 H2H) are small comforts, but they matter.

Monte Carlo’s notoriously slow clay and breezy coastal conditions will blunt Perricard’s biggest strength: his massive serve. Unless he finds ways to shorten points, the surface will expose his still-developing movement and rally tolerance.

Thompson doesn’t love clay either, but his ability to absorb pace and his better understanding of point construction may help him scrape through—provided his fitness holds up.

🔮 Prediction

Neither man is in form, but Thompson has experience, a 3–0 head-to-head, and has beaten Perricard as recently as March. Add in Monte Carlo’s slow conditions, which should neutralize Perricard’s weapons, and the Australian has the slight edge.

🧩 Prediction: Thompson in 3 sets. Not a high-confidence pick, but his tactical edge and H2H history tilt the balance in his favor.