🎾 WTA Charleston: Jessica Pegula vs Danielle Collins

🎾 WTA Charleston: Jessica Pegula vs Danielle Collins – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula

• 🎯 Locked in on home soil: Dropped just 7 games through her first two rounds (vs. Shymanovich & Tomljanovic).
• 📈 Quarterfinal queen: Reached 14 of her last 16 QFs since late 2023 — including finals in Toronto, Cincinnati, US Open, and Miami.
• 🧱 Charleston consistency: Semifinalist in both 2023 and 2024; still chasing her first final here.
• ⏳ Title-ready: Pegula’s form this week looks composed, precise, and intimidating.

🇺🇸 Danielle Collins

• 💪 Back on the grind: 2024 Charleston champion trying to find last season’s form after a shaky start to 2025 (5–4 record entering this week).
• ⚠️ Defending under pressure: 750 points to defend this week. She’s shown heart in battling past Ostapenko and Montgomery.
• 🧱 Still dangerous: Her explosive baseline game thrives on green clay when her timing is on point.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Pegula holds a commanding 5–0 head-to-head lead over Collins and has dropped just one set in their meetings. Why? Pegula's ability to absorb and redirect pace, combined with her consistent depth and high rally tolerance, neutralizes Collins’ first-strike strategy.

While Collins has shown flashes of her 2024 championship form, she’s been prone to unforced errors and shaky serving—vulnerabilities that Pegula will look to exploit. With Pegula returning well and dictating tempo off her backhand, she’ll be able to wear down Collins if rallies extend.

Collins may still put up a spirited fight—especially knowing this could be one of her final deep WTA runs—but Pegula’s blend of tactical clarity and rhythm makes her a heavy favorite.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Jessica Pegula in 2 sets

Unless Collins redlines with near-perfect shot selection, Pegula should remain in full control and move into her third straight Charleston semifinal.