Friday, April 25, 2025

🎾 WTA Madrid: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Olga Danilovic

🎾 WTA Madrid: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Olga Danilovic

🧠 Form & Context

Ekaterina Alexandrova
🇷🇺 After a rough North American swing, Alexandrova has rediscovered her rhythm on clay. With back-to-back WTA 500 semifinal runs in Charleston and Stuttgart—featuring wins over Zheng, Shnaider, Andreeva, and Pegula—she’s in arguably the best form of her career on this surface. Madrid has always suited her aggressive style; she reached the semifinals here in 2022 as a qualifier. Her current blend of power, confidence, and clay movement makes her a true threat this week.

Olga Danilovic
🇷🇸 One of the hottest players on tour right now, Danilovic enters on a 9-match winning streak after claiming a WTA 125K title in Antalya and reaching the final in Rouen. The Serbian lefty has made significant leaps in 2024, climbing to a career-high No. 34. This is her first time in the second round of Madrid, and her recent clay dominance makes her a dangerous underdog against any opponent.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a matchup of aggressive precision vs lefty depth and margin. Alexandrova prefers short points and fast pace, taking balls early and driving through the court. Madrid’s altitude amplifies her flat hitting, particularly on serve and backhand.

Danilovic offers contrast—her lefty forehand generates heavy topspin, and she builds points patiently. She’ll try to disrupt Alexandrova’s timing with loopy balls and drag her into longer rallies, where the Russian is more vulnerable.

  • Alexandrova’s serve + backhand is the key combination; if she holds at a high percentage, she controls the match.
  • Danilovic’s crosscourt forehand could test Alexandrova’s movement and discipline on the backhand wing.
  • Altitude favors Alexandrova’s flatter style, but Danilovic’s clay-court comfort might even the scales in extended rallies.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Alexandrova in 3 sets
Both players enter with serious momentum, but Alexandrova’s past success in Madrid and sharper weapons in quick conditions give her a slight edge. Expect Danilovic to push hard, but the Russian’s current clay form looks just a touch more battle-tested at this level.

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