🎾 WTA Madrid: Emma Raducanu vs Marta Kostyuk
🧠 Form & Context
Emma Raducanu
🎾 Madrid rebound: Snapped a five-tournament losing streak with a composed win over Suzan Lamens, rallying back from a break down in both sets.
📈 Signs of revival: Reached the Miami quarterfinals, highlighted by a gritty tiebreak win over Emma Navarro.
🇪🇸 Madrid familiarity: Made the third round here in 2022. Her flatter hitting style benefits from Madrid’s altitude.
Marta Kostyuk
🧱 Rusty clay opener: Started her clay campaign with an inconsistent showing—defeated Kawa but lost to Naef in BJK Cup.
🔥 Big-stage potential: Stuttgart finalist and Olympic quarterfinalist in 2023, proving her credentials on clay.
📉 Madrid struggles: Four second-round exits in four appearances. Needs a breakthrough at Caja Mágica.
🤝 H2H: Tied 1–1; Kostyuk won Cluj (2021), Raducanu dominated here in Madrid (2022).
🔍 Match Breakdown
This is a contrast in styles and timing. Raducanu brings more control and court discipline, and she thrives in quick altitude clay conditions where her flat, precise groundstrokes gain extra zip. Kostyuk, while more comfortable on traditional clay, can get impatient and rack up errors when under pressure.
The Brit has the advantage of already playing a match here this week, while Kostyuk is still searching for rhythm. If Raducanu can absorb pressure and counterpunch smartly—as she did in their last Madrid meeting—she’s well-positioned to edge through.
- Raducanu wins if: She controls tempo, keeps her unforced errors low, and attacks second serves.
- Kostyuk wins if: She dictates early with depth and adds variation to upset Emma’s rhythm.
🔮 Prediction
Prediction: Raducanu in 3 sets
The matchup is tight, but Raducanu has momentum, altitude advantage, and more recent match play. Expect a back-and-forth affair with Emma edging it through superior control and focus.
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