🎾 WTA Stuttgart: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula

🎾 WTA Stuttgart: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇷🇺 Ekaterina Alexandrova

• Clay breakthrough brewing: She’s 5–1 on clay this season, already matching her entire win total on the surface from last year. That’s a serious step forward.
• Riding momentum: With a title under her belt earlier this year and confidence trending up, she’s showing she belongs deep in these draws.
• Indoor comfort zone: She’s 4–0 indoors in 2025 and tends to thrive under a roof, though Stuttgart itself has never been her happy hunting ground—she’s yet to go past the quarterfinals here.
• Sharp this week: Wins over Samsonova and Andreeva came with zero drama—no sets dropped, no break points faced.
• Fatigue factor: She played a lot of tennis recently, including a semifinal run in Charleston. Will that start to weigh on her legs?

🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula

• In the zone: Pegula is in excellent form, winning 12 of her last 13 matches, including a title in Charleston just a couple weeks ago.
• Quietly dominant: Her 26–6 record in 2025 marks one of her most consistent starts to a season—and she’s done it without much fanfare.
• All about control: She’s known for her low-error style, tactical clarity, and the ability to stay cool under pressure—especially valuable on clay.
• Revenge angle: She lost to Alexandrova earlier this year in Doha, so there’s a bit of unfinished business here.
• Stuttgart debut: This is her first time playing this event, but she’s adjusting well to the indoor clay and looks sharp heading into the weekend.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This one’s shaping up to be a contrast in styles. Alexandrova brings first-strike firepower and loves to keep rallies short. When she’s in rhythm, she can hit clean through the court and make life very uncomfortable for anyone across the net—just ask Pegula, who lost to her in Doha.

Pegula, meanwhile, thrives in longer rallies and turns matches into controlled, high-percentage battles. On slower indoor clay, her movement and ability to absorb pace could be key. She’ll look to extend rallies and frustrate Alexandrova into errors, especially as the match wears on.

Fitness could also come into play. Pegula’s had a busy spring, but she looks fresh. Alexandrova, coming off a heavy Charleston run, might start to feel it if this one stretches deep.

🔮 Prediction

Pick: Jessica Pegula in 3 sets

Expect a tightly contested match, especially early on. Alexandrova has the weapons to push Pegula, but the American’s control, clay consistency, and endurance give her the edge—especially if she drags this into a third set.