🎾 ATP Madrid: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo

🎾 ATP Madrid: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

• Gritty Survival: Battled back from a set and break down to outlast Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 in a near-three-hour thriller.
• Confidence Rebuild: Echoes his Munich title run, where a comeback over Griekspoor sparked his first title of 2025.
• Madrid Affinity: Two-time former champion but lost in the R16 here last year to Francisco Cerundolo.
• Masters 2025 Struggles: Has yet to reach a Masters quarterfinal this season, something he’s determined to correct.

🇦🇷 Francisco Cerundolo

• Fortunate Draw: Defeated Harold Mayot and Francisco Comesana without dropping a set but hasn’t faced a top-30 player yet in Madrid.
• Consistent Season: 22 wins in 31 matches; quarterfinalist at two of the first three Masters events of 2025.
• Top-10 Record: Maintains a strong career record against top-10 opponents, already beating three this year.
• Madrid Comfort: Beat Zverev here last year in the R16 and matches up well against high seeds on clay.

🔍 Match Breakdown

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🎾 ATP Madrid: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik

🎾 ATP Madrid: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇨🇿 Jakub Mensik

• Breakthrough Form: Dominated Ben Shelton 6-1, 6-4 in the third round, creating nine break chances while not facing a single one himself.
• Clay Progress: Improving rapidly on clay compared to 2024, when injuries restricted him to a modest clay swing.
• Masters Momentum: Perfect 2-0 in Masters R16 matches (Shanghai and Miami) and already an ATP title winner this year.
• Top-20 Charge: A run to the semifinals or better could push Mensik close to a top-20 breakthrough and the Czech No. 1 position.

🇰🇿 Alexander Bublik

• Trickster’s Triumph: Outfoxed a mentally fragile Rublev with mind games, recovering from a 0-6 second set to win 6-4, 0-6, 6-4.
• Masters Breakthrough: First career Masters-level top-10 win after seven previous failed attempts.
• Madrid Specialty: Prefers Madrid’s quicker clay to other red-clay events, with a quarterfinal run here in 2021 and R16 in 2024.
• Clay Skepticism: While he’s dangerous in these fast conditions, clay still remains his least preferred surface overall.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Jakub Mensik continues to surge on the ATP stage, showing tactical maturity far beyond his age. His performance against Shelton was dominant in every department—serve, return, and shot selection—confirming his growing comfort on clay, especially at altitude.

Alexander Bublik, meanwhile, rode his disruptive style to upset Rublev, showcasing his usual mix of genius and chaos. Madrid’s faster conditions favor his serve-and-volley and trick shots, but consistency remains a huge question mark for him, particularly against calm, composed opponents like Mensik.

The dynamic will revolve around whether Bublik can unsettle Mensik early and keep him off balance. If Mensik maintains his solid serving and keeps rallies structured, his patience and steady ball-striking should gradually wear Bublik down.

🔮 Prediction

Bublik is always a wild card capable of spectacular moments, but Mensik’s discipline, confidence, and recent clay form give him a clear edge heading into this quarterfinal clash.

🧩 Prediction: Mensik in 2 sets, holding firm against Bublik’s shotmaking chaos.

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